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‘Israel’s’ military capability to target Iran is pure Sci Fi

The only sane conclusion is that any military attack on Iran – aerial or otherwise – would have to materialize from its neighbouring countries. Iran’s strategic planners are aware of that fact; they know that Israel cannot carry out such an offensive without the involvement of some of its neighbours, and the full support of the western alliance.

The Force isn’t with you…

‘Israel’s’ military capability to target Iran is pure Sci Fi

By   Saeb Shaath

07/02/2012

Heron TP drone

Heron TP drone

On the morning of Sunday Jan 29, an ‘Israeli’ Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UVA), the Heron TP (also known as the IAI Eitan) crashed during a joint operation by the ‘Israeli’ military and the company responsible for the drone’s development, near the Tel Nof airbase, south of Tel Aviv.

Thought to be the biggest UAV in the world, the Heron TP is the largest in the ‘Israeli’ UAV arsenal. It boasts a 26-meter-long wingspan, can fly for up to 45 hours with a cruise speed of 300 kilometres per hour, and is able to cover a distance of 10,000 kilometres. [1]

These are the vital statistics that led to claims in the New York Times magazine (January 25) that Israel possessed “unmanned aircraft capable of carrying bombs to…targets [in Iran] and remaining airborne for up to 48 hours.”

However, Robert Hewson, editor of Jane’s Air-Launched Weapons dismissed ‘Israel’s’ supposed drone capabilities as “science fiction”, saying “Nobody has the ability to conduct any kind of strategic offensive warfare with drones – not the U.S., not Israel, not anybody.” He stated that “Such a task requires a level of technology and a force of UAVs (unarmed aerial vehicles) that does not exist and will not exist for decades.”

In response to the assertion, by some U.S. corporate media  networks, that ‘Israel’s’  Heron TP drones could be used for the aerial refuelling of fighter-bombers for the 1,500 km – 2,000 km flight to Iran, Hewson insisted , “Not a chance. Not even in theory, a total impossibility.”

‘Israel’s’ belligerent posturing with regards to its military capabilities is nothing new, and the most glancing historical overview of its previous military actions demonstrates that it is only ‘Israel’s’ own role as a drone that equips it for anything beyond a very local military impact.

While Israel has used drones for the targeted assassinations of freedom fighters in Gaza and Lebanon, these do not count as complicated operations. Both areas are exposed, and lack the kind of anti-aircraft guns, or missiles, needed to defend themselves against these slow, and very noisy, craft. Such targets, therefore, demand neither range nor stealth on the part of ‘Israeli’ hardware.

Current focus rests on Iran’s military capabilities, which ‘Israel’ views as an existential threat. Previously, of course, this role fell to Iraq; and ‘Israel’ sent F-16 jets to destroy Iraq’s atomic reactor in 1981. That operation, however, was necessarily coordinated with regional player states.

A glance at the attacks against the PLO in Lebanon in 1982 further emphasises the free licence ‘Israel’ was granted, under Camp David’s delivery of Egypt to US-Zionist control, to the immediate region; including that just beyond their borders.

The martial spin-doctoring that ‘Israel’ applies to its offensive against the PLO HQ in Tunisia, in the late eighties, would have us believe that its over-flying F16s plunged an elite band of unbeatable Rambo-types into the action; whence the mission was accomplished. This puts a fanciful, propagandist gloss on the fact that this mission would have been very much impossible without coordination with Bin Ali’s secret police and the robust resources of the US 6th fleet glowering at Tunisia from the Mediterranean Sea.

More recently, in 2007 ‘Israel’ attacked a Syrian factory, claiming that it was an atomic reactor research facility. There are two key points which stand out in the context of this assault; firstly, that Turkey is strategically allied to Israel, and both countries are members of NATO –Israel’s membership is undeclared to facilitate the freedom of movement for NATO in Arabic AND Islamic countries– ; and secondly, that ‘Israel’s’ Mossad has bases in the Kurdish territories in northern Iraq. Reaching Der al-Zoar in Syria was not, therefore, a long range achievement; nor was it an operation which needed high-end military capabilities to succeed. In short, it was not a valid model, for an attack against Iran.

While Israel has the option of using its untested Jerichos intermediate-range ballistic missiles as surprise attack, such an attack would take 10-12 minutes to reach to Iran, leaving plenty of time for Iran to launch a counter-attack.

Scrutiny of the latest Iranian war games reveals that the country has a huge stock of already-tested long- and intermediate-range ballistic missiles. An Iranian source declared last week that they have 200,000 such missiles – enough, in other words, to counter any such onslaught and put ‘Israel’ out of business for a very long time.

The only sane conclusion is that any military attack on Iran – aerial or otherwise – would have to materialize from its neighbouring countries. Iran’s strategic planners are aware of that fact; they know that Israel cannot carry out such an offensive without the involvement of some of its neighbours, and the full support of the western alliance.

On Sunday, 5th of Feb 2012 a senior Iranian commander said that the Islamic Revolution Guard Corps (IRGC) will target any location used as a launchpad for attacking Iran:The point of origin of an enemy offensive against the Islamic Republic will be attacked by IRGC military units,” IRGC Deputy Commander Brigadier General Hossein Salami added.

I conclude with a quote from a recent article by Fidel Castro, ‘World Peace Is Hanging by a Thread’, Jan 2012.

“….Yesterday I had the satisfaction of having a pleasant conversation with Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. I had not seen him since 2006…During our meeting yesterday, I noted that the Iranian president was absolutely calm and tranquil, completely unconcerned about the Yankee threats and, fully confident in the capacity of his people to confront any aggression and in the effectiveness of their arms —which, in large part, they produce themselves— to inflict an unpayable price on its aggressors. In reality, we hardly spoke about the topic of war.

 Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was focused on the ideas he had presented at the Main Hall of the University of Havana during his conference on the struggle of humankind: “Moving towards reaching and achieving peace, security, respect and human dignity as a fundamental desire of all human beings throughout history.”…” [2]

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 Saeb Shaath: Writer, thinker, public speaker, Middle Eastern affairs Expert.

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 [1]. ‘Israeli’ superdrone explodes in the sky :https://saebpress.com/2012/01/israeli-superdrone-explodes-in-the-sky/

[2].World Peace Is Hanging By A Thread :https://saebpress.com/2012/01/world-peace-is-hanging-by-a-thread-by-fidel-castro/

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US Cornered at UNSC while attempting to extend arms embargo on Iran.

Shaath ‘the US is seeking to corner China and Russia for propaganda purposes‘

US Cornered at UNSC

Washington has stepped up calls for the extension of the UN arms embargo on Iran, which will expire in October under UN Security Council Resolution 2231, which endorses Iran nuclear deal, officially known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA).

The Trump administration has threatened that it may seek to trigger a snapback provision spelled out in the Iran nuclear deal of all sanctions on Iran if its attempts to extend the UN arms embargo fail.

UNSC

Iran, Russia and China have repeatedly said that the US has no authority to invoke the snapback mechanism as it is no more a party to the 2015 accord. “It has no right to extend an arms embargo on Iran, let alone to trigger snapback,” China’s UN mission wrote in a tweet on Thursday. “Maintaining [the] Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action is the only right way moving forward,” it added

The US has circulated a new anti-Iran resolution at the UN Security Council calling for an extension of the UN arms embargo on Tehran, before it expires in October. The resolution reportedly urges member states to stop all arms sales to and from Iran. It also asks them not to provide Tehran with technical training, financial resources, and other services related to weapons program.

The new draft is almost identical to the previous one Washington circulated in June, which failed to gather support. US envoy to the council, Kelly Craft, has said Russia and China are likely to veto the resolution.

US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo also told reporters that the measure is “eminently reasonable,” alleging that “one way or another we will do the right thing.” He went on threatening Tehran with more sanctions through a mechanism embedded within the Iran nuclear deal, from which the US has unilaterally withdrawn.

Pompeo  added  “We’re deeply aware that snapback is an option that’s available to the United States, and we’re going to do everything within America’s power to ensure that that arms embargo is extended,” he claimed. “I am confident that we will be successful.”

Shaath ‘the US is seeking to corner China and Russia for propaganda purposes

Wednesday, in an Interview with Press TV with Saeb Shaath, Author and Middle East affairs expert and Michael Springmann, Author and former U.S diplomat, Shaath said, “The US strategy always is to have Russia and China abstain in that regard in the UNSC and obviously not to veto, the USA’s resolution.

Shaath, pointed out that “ But, today and right now the strategy is working maybe with other members of the Security Council, so the USA intending  from this as Pompeo hinted and Craft the US representative  in the Security Council that Russia and China are not coming round and obviously they are going to veto the resolution.”

Shaath then questioned their motives “So why are they doing this? [Pompeo & Craft] they are doing this, to try to corner China and Russia for propaganda purposes, as Craft said to pot the spot light on the Chinese and Russian.”

Shaath went on to say, “Since the Trump administration maintains that quitting the deal does not prevent it from invoking the provision of the snap back mechanism, which is sanctions according to what they envisaged in the Iran nuclear deal.”

Shaath pointed out “ Other member states, as you mentioned in your report, like  France, Germany, Britain, Russia and China are trying to negotiate a solution which might prevent the USA from taking such a step, but until now there is no clear compromise has emerged among them”.

‘U.S. seeks to blackmail UNSC member states’

Mikhail Ulyanov, Russia’s permanent representative to the Vienna-based international organizations, has said that it looks like the U.S. attempts to blackmail the UN Security Council members.

“Looks like an attempt to blackmail the UNSC Member States. US position on arms embargo against #Iran and #SnapBack is very weak not only from the viewpoint of common sense but also in legal terms,” he said in a tweet on Thursday.

‘U.S. plans to impose indefinite arms embargo on Iran have no prospects’

Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova said on Thursday that Washington’s plans to introduce an indefinite arms embargo against Iran have no prospects.

“The stubborn shattering of the JCPOA through new anti-Iranian ideas, which include the proposal to impose an indefinite arms embargo against Iran, simply does not honor the United States. It is clear that this course has no prospects,” Zakharova said at a briefing, Sputnik reported.

Those members of the JCPOA, who have maintained a genuine full commitment to the nuclear deal, will continue to fight for its preservation and sustainable implementation, she said.

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Culture & Arts

Justice for Palestine, Jews Step Forward.

These are the moral voices of bravery and justice inside JEWS STEP FORWARD

This indie documentary highlights twenty-four moral voices within the American Jewish community speaking on behalf of justice for the indigenous Palestinian people.  Directed and produced by Elika Rezaee and Marjorie Wright, this powerful, truthful, controversial documentary has been screened at festivals around the world.  It has been recognised by the 2016 justice Awards Festival and given a certificate of merit as the best “Human Rights, War and Peace film in the category Documentary Feature” by the sixteen International Film Festivals.

“Few are willing to brave the disapproval of their fellows, the censure of the colleagues, the wrath of their society. Moral courage is a rarer commodity than bravery in battle or great intelligence. Yet it is the one essential, vital quality for those who seek to change a world that yields most painfully to change. Each time a person stands up for an idea, or acts to improve the lot of others, or strikes out against injustice, (s)he sends forth a tiny ripple of hope, and crossing each other from a million different centres of energy and daring, those ripples build a current that can sweep down the mightiest walls of oppression and resistance.”– Robert F. Kennedy. These are the moral voices of bravery and justice inside JEWS STEP FORWARD.

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Zionist entity ‘Israel’ fabricating fictitious victories in South Lebanon.

Shaath, said “there is a complete paralysis in northern occupied Palestine, as identified by and stated by the former Zionist entity Minister of Security Avigdor Lieberman. Who said “Nasrallah’s Statement it meant, an eye for an eye, a tooth for a tooth”

SaebPress

Zionists occupation army falsely claim a “victory” against the resistance to psych up its forces. Lebanese Hezbollah stated that Zionist entity ‘Israel’ claim about border clashes aims to fabricate fictitious victories.

Lebanon’s prime minister warns sternly about potential escalation in the aftermath of a recent ‘Israeli’ border incursion, saying the occupying regime is trying to manipulate the rules of engagement with the country.

“The enemy is trying to change the rules of battle with Lebanon,” Hassan Diab tweeted on Tuesday. “I call for caution in coming days because I fear the situation will deteriorate in light of heightened tensions on our border,” he added.

Saeb Sha’ath, an author and Middle East political expert said in an interview with Press TV: there is a complete paralysis in northern occupied Palestine, as identified by and stated by the former Zionist entity Minister of Security Avigdor Lieberman. Who said “Nasrallah’s Statement it meant, an eye for an eye, a tooth for a tooth”

  Sha’ath added  “As a result of this tension,  a military vehicle crashed in the Shebaa Farms,  killing of one soldier and wounding another.  Actually yesterday the Zionist occupation army clashed with shadows   “the shadows of the resistance fighters .”.

Sha’ath said “the panic swept the political, military, security, inelegance and the media circles  within the Zionist entity after the announced  position in Hizballah’s  statement.”

Martyr Ali Kamel Mohsen

A day earlier, Zionist entity ‘Israel’ fired dozens of shells into Lebanon’s Shebaa Farms, which Tel Aviv has occupied since 1967. A Reuters’ witness counted dozens of Israeli shells hitting the occupied area.

The Zionist regime claimed it launched the attack after an attempt by Lebanon’s Hezbollah resistance movement to “infiltrate” into the occupied territories.

The movement has roundly rejected the claim, saying the Zionist regime has come up with the account to falsely claim a “victory” against the resistance and try to psych up its forces.

‘Nasrallah dictating agenda to Israel’

Addressing the recent developments, Amiram Levin, former commander of the Zionist ‘Israeli’ military’s Northern Command, said “It is [Hezbollah’s Secretary General Seyyed Hassan] Nasrallah that dictates the agenda to ‘Israel’.” Nasrallah, he cited the case of the ‘Israeli’ occupation forces incursion — that came with apparently no provocation on the part of Hezbollah — as an instance of the regime going off half-cocked due to its fear of the resistance group. “The security incident of the last day is shameful,” Levin said.

Former Israeli foreign minister Avigdor Lieberman, meanwhile, acknowledged the regime’s fearfulness of Hezbollah. He attributed the trigger-readiness of the  Zionist regime’s forces to the Zionist entity’s  assassination of Ali Mohsen, a Hezbollah member near the Syrian capital Damascus last Monday. The atrocity warranted outspoken warnings from the resistance movements.

Lieberman said the entire northern part of the territories that are under ‘Israeli’ occupation have become “crippled” since the assassination of Ali Kamel Mohsen, who was martyred during the latest Zionist ‘occupation aggression against Syria that was staged from the Tel Aviv-occupied Golan Heights.

Although Hezbollah has said it reserves the right to retaliate for the atrocity, the movement asserted on Monday that “the answer to the martyrdom of [our] brother,  Ali Kamel Mohsen, in the vicinity of Damascus airport has not been given yet.”

“Zionist occupiers must still wait for that answer and their punishment at the hands of the resistance forces,” it added, refuting Tel Aviv’s claims that it tried to strike the occupied territories in an act of revenge.

SaebPress/Press TV

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